Item – Theses Canada

​
OCLC number
54905802
Link(s) to full text
LAC copy
LAC copy
Author
Ellsworth, Stephen R.(Stephen Roger)
Title
Estimating air passenger travel in the Atlantic region.
Degree
M. Sc. E. -- University of New Brunswick, 2000
Publisher
Ottawa : National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, [2002]
Description
2 microfiches.
Notes
Includes bibliographical references.
Abstract
Forecast models developed for air transport have typically focussed on estimating air passenger trips generated at the national or individual route level. Models that estimate demand for regional and local air service are limited because forecasting at this level is considerably more complex since the market characteristics and regional/local air service networks vary greatly from one geographical area to another. In Atlantic Canada, estimating air passenger demand has remained a challenge as the social and economic variables vary between the provinces of New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland. Forecast models were developed for passenger travel in the region based on published data from 1996. A catchment area generation model and a link estimation model were developed using regression techniques. These models estimate air passenger trips over a ten-year period for major airports located within the Atlantic Provinces. To evaluate the predictive ability and accuracy of the models, historic data from 1991 were inserted into the equations and the resultant air passenger trip values were compared with actual trip totals. Information determined using these statistical methods are useful to air carriers and other industries affiliated with the air transportation industry in Atlantic Canada. Estimated air passenger demand will enable the air sector to plan accordingly as the market enters a new millennium.
Subject
Aeronautics, Commercial Atlantic Provinces Passenger traffic Forecasting.
Transports aériens Provinces de l'Atlantique Voyageurs Prévision.
ISBN
0612654842
9780612654846